Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.205539 0.233870 0.264260 0.299232 0.338314 0.380593 0.429739
2025-11-09 0.163574 0.200653 0.243100 0.295108 0.356921 0.427839 0.515156
2025-11-16 0.135049 0.176835 0.227427 0.292810 0.374644 0.473224 0.600459
2025-11-23 0.113877 0.158110 0.214408 0.290669 0.390522 0.515977 0.684557
2025-11-30 0.100624 0.147215 0.209206 0.296720 0.415898 0.571165 0.787128
2025-12-07 0.087961 0.135157 0.200603 0.296590 0.432090 0.614538 0.876320
2025-12-14 0.077646 0.124903 0.192997 0.296447 0.447359 0.656729 0.965684
2025-12-21 0.069269 0.116334 0.186630 0.296974 0.462893 0.699473 1.057601
2025-12-28 0.063191 0.110466 0.183463 0.301537 0.484058 0.750856 1.164134
2026-01-04 0.058613 0.106381 0.182459 0.308987 0.509616 0.809625 1.284195
2026-01-11 0.053597 0.100942 0.178674 0.311507 0.527394 0.857374 1.389969
2026-01-18 0.049813 0.097143 0.177099 0.317234 0.550260 0.913714 1.511293
2026-01-25 0.046751 0.094431 0.177316 0.326298 0.579725 0.982976 1.658165
2026-02-01 0.042248 0.088562 0.171534 0.324662 0.591369 1.024622 1.763785
2026-02-08 0.038356 0.083374 0.166418 0.323644 0.603783 1.067951 1.874151
2026-02-15 0.034829 0.078463 0.161298 0.322083 0.614947 1.109565 1.983560
2026-02-22 0.032774 0.076260 0.160981 0.329140 0.641516 1.178125 2.140867
2026-03-01 0.030088 0.072417 0.157135 0.329219 0.655431 1.225656 2.264765
2026-03-08 0.027661 0.068829 0.153425 0.329178 0.668958 1.272982 2.390314
2026-03-15 0.025543 0.065658 0.150233 0.329819 0.683646 1.322887 2.522445
2026-03-22 0.024037 0.063692 0.149324 0.334866 0.706876 1.389027 2.686051
2026-03-29 0.022929 0.062525 0.149973 0.343070 0.736590 1.468214 2.876358
2026-04-05 0.021450 0.060283 0.148090 0.345848 0.755748 1.528794 3.035499